Pegasus Capital

UK petrol prices look set to fall, with not immaterial effect on RPI

Petrol & Oil currently make up 35 parts per 1000 within the RPI according to the ONS, or 3.5% of the Index. The weighting within the CPI index is lower, nearer 22 parts per 1000 or 2.2% of the index

PegasusCapital - 21/11/2018

A View From The Bridge - May 2020 (2)

The risks of a deflationary outcome remain very elevated. Our understanding of likely household responses is becoming more informed, particularly with regard to genuine uncertainty, precautionary savings balances being built (where possible) and the likely consolidation of credit related debt. Turning the tide on the risk of viral infection and saving lives is the driving policy of government, but by definition this just pushes another rising tide of shrinking demand onto the economy.

PegasusCapital - 07/05/2020